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31 January 2022

Rearview mirror

Market Insights
At the beginning of the new year, we look back at the performance of our Quintet Group Strategic Asset Allocations (SAA). In this second edition of our biannual review we explore how our SAAs fared amid buoyant risk markets and macro volatility.
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The name is bond
24 January 2022

The name is bond

Market Insights
Once again, the rise in core bond yields is driving markets across geographies, asset classes, sectors and styles, with a sharp equity rotation away from growth and into value stocks. In the James Bond movie series, 007 eventually overcomes an improbable sequence of obstacles and makes it through.
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Moving past the peak
17 January 2022

Moving past the peak

Market Insights
While economic growth and stimulus should become less positive this year, inflation and the virus impact should become less negative too. We’re tactically overweight US equities and a range of credit exposures.
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Big macro vs little macro
03 January 2022

Big macro vs little macro

Market Insights
Economist and best-selling author JK Galbraith once quipped that there are two kinds of forecasters: those who don’t know and those who don’t know they don’t know. Turns out, it may be worse.
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The big reset: Quintet unveils 2022 investment outlook
07 December 2021

The big reset: Quintet unveils 2022 investment outlook

“Counterpoint” highlights dynamics that will drive the world economy, financial markets and key asset classes over the next 12 months
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Thematic investing: fast forward to the future
29 November 2021

Thematic investing: fast forward to the future

Thematic Investing
The world is changing rapidly, driven by technological and environmental factors, and these shifts could have profound long-term implications for investors. Our thematic framework can help navigate the evolving investment landscape.
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Cheques and imbalances
22 November 2021

Cheques and imbalances

Market Insights
Paraphrasing an old adage, a forecaster is a portfolio manager who never marks to market. There’s some truth in this. There’s a disincentive in rapidly shifting views back and forth – which is equal to not having a view.
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Solid Q3 results despite the challenges
15 November 2021

Solid Q3 results despite the challenges

Market Insights
In the third quarter of 2021, inflation rose in most countries and the global economy faced ongoing supply chain issues. Despite concerns about how these challenges would impact earnings, the results are better than expected and forecasts have been revised higher across most sectors.
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What a difference a year makes
08 November 2021

What a difference a year makes

Market Insights
In this latest note focusing on our strategic asset allocation (SAA), we explore our updated risk and return expectations for the next 10 years. What has driven the change in our capital market assumptions (CMAs) and how do they affect investment portfolios?
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Are equities too expensive?
01 November 2021

Are equities too expensive?

Market Insights
We’re often asked this question when discussing our current tactical overweight in equities over bonds, and understandably so. Many measures of equity valuations are high compared with history. But that doesn’t mean global stock markets can’t continue to rise.
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Going to the movies
25 October 2021

Going to the movies

Market Insights
Markets are grappling with two new(ish) facts. First, energy prices are surging. Second, central banks are diverging. Have investors seen this movie before?
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To exclude or engage
18 October 2021

To exclude or engage

ESG
There are several ways to align portfolios with sustainable considerations. Sometimes deciding not to invest is the optimal choice. However, investing can often provide an opportunity to encourage positive change.
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The state of European credit markets
11 October 2021

The state of European credit markets

Market Insights
Bond yields are rising following a more hawkish tone from central banks around the world. Monetary policy is becoming less accommodative but we don’t believe it’s the end of the game for credit in Europe.
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Build back better: infrastructure goes global
04 October 2021

Build back better: infrastructure goes global

Market Insights
Spending on infrastructure looks set to rise, mostly in the US but also in Europe. This is a structural trend to rebuild the economy in a sustainable way, with a focus on green and digital investment.
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Asian high yield: well-compensated risks
27 September 2021

Asian high yield: well-compensated risks

Market Insights
Asian high yield (HY) bonds have experienced a period of elevated volatility and rising spreads since June. The correction has accelerated in recent weeks, with the rapid deterioration of property developer Evergrande’s liquidity situation a major catalyst. We revisit the investment case for Asian HY bonds and confirm our conviction in the asset class over our tactical horizon of 6–12 months, despite near-term risks.
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Back to school
20 September 2021

Back to school

Market Insights
September is all about getting back to normal life now that the holidays are over. This sense of normalisation – if one could really call it that in the Covid world – is happening in the wider economy too.
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Germany’s election: life after Merkel
13 September 2021

Germany’s election: life after Merkel

Market Insights
On 26 September, Germany will elect a new Bundestag. The outcome will set the stage for the next coalition, headed by a new chancellor, with Angela Merkel set to step down after 16 years. The next government is likely to have a greener tilt.
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Amundi and Quintet partner to accelerate sustainable investments in emerging markets
07 September 2021

Amundi and Quintet partner to accelerate sustainable investments in emerging markets

Quintet commits €200 million to Amundi Funds Emerging Markets Green Bond in line with broader focus on generating positive real-world impact
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Fed tapering explained
06 September 2021

Fed tapering explained

Market Insights
The upcoming reduction in net asset purchases is likely to put upward pressure on Treasury yields, but only moderately as rate hikes aren’t yet in sight. Credit and equity markets should be able to cope.
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Our strategic asset allocation process in focus
30 August 2021

Our strategic asset allocation process in focus

Market Insights
In this latest note exploring our approach to strategic asset allocation (SAA), we answer some common questions. How do we arrive at our return expectations? How to deal with lower future returns when building globally diversified portfolios? What is the role of geopolitics and sustainability in our investment process?
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